The large-scale uptake of heat pumps to decarbonise the GB residential heat sector is expected to significantly impact the magnitude and shape of the electricity demand profiles at different spatial scales. Aggregate electricity demand profiles of heat pumps for regions are different due to varying characteristics of the housing stock that affect number and size of heat pumps that can be installed. This will lead to different level of network reinforcement needs at different BSPs.
This estimates half-hourly electricity demand profiles for heat pumps at different spatial scales such as LA and national, for selected future scenarios. Spatially resolved housing stock data as well as real-world heat pump performance data were used to estimate half-hourly electricity demand profiles for heat pumps aggregated at LAs.
This tool quantifies technically available flexibility from electrified residential heat sector. A lumped parameter model was developed to analyse thermal behaviour of buildings. Considering size and operating state of heat pumps, as well as thermal inertia of buildings, the tool quantifies magnitude (MW) and duration (minutes) of flexibility from electrified residential heat sector at different spatial resolution.
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